Indian Railways in Amrit Kaal
We
in India are living today in what our political leaders call Amrit Kaal.
A decisive period of next twenty-five years, or perhaps less, for India to
attain prosperity with inclusive growth of the fruits of development reaching all.
An ancient civilization emerging from the shadows of the past to regain its
rightful place as an influential country with a prominent global profile! Let
us talk about India and Indian Railways (IR) in this backdrop.
Do you believe it is
going to happen or is it a mere dream? Well, I for one believe that happen it
has to, not a question of if, but when.
The people’s
President APJ Abdul Kalam has famously said, “Dream
is not the thing you see in sleep, but is that thing that doesn't let you
sleep”. It may look
like a dream today but it is up to us now to let this dream prevent us from
sleeping. Whether it happens finally in 2045 or 2050, we must give shape and
form to this dream with a meaningful vision and strong actions. A series of
invigorating activities and enterprise predicated on this sentiment to propel
our renascent country to an era of happiness and proud well-being. Portia
says in The Merchant of Venice by my uncle, Shakespeare, “…If to do were as
easy as to know what were good to do, chapels had been churches,
and poor men's cottages princes' palaces…”. In the same vein, “if to do were as
easy as to talk…”, so this is only about dreams for IR with genuine possibilities, not pipedreams or nightmares, with
clear vision and action for demonstrable Proof of the Pudding.
IR,
as you know, has a long history and legacy. Started in 1853 as a vehicle to
control India and keep it subjugated, it had the spin-off benefit of great
distances of our vast country getting truncated for people, it brought them in
contact, interaction and awakening. Gandhiji leveraging the reach of railways
to travel the length and breadth of the country to ignite and stimulate the
emotion of freedom among our countrymen is etched in our memory. A great
unification of people with a common objective took shape and after decades of
struggle, we gained our liberty. After independence, IR became the lifeline of
a newborn nation and played a key part in its
journey of growth in carrying vast multitude of people and goods.
I am retired but once a railwayman,
always a railwayman, a railwayman for life. And why not? Which other
organization offers such romance, that scramble for the window seat to look at
the wonder, the marvel, the enchanting microcosm of India, its people, its towns
and villages, its delightful landscape passing you by. But keeping this romance
aside for a moment, is it relevant in the 21st century? Absolutely,
more than ever. It is the most economical and greenest mode of transport by a
large margin as compared to road and air, and today’s rail technology can help
it effectively reach every corner of India.
From
a very modest beginning in 1853, IR today has a route km nearing 70,000 km, a single system with
nearly 23000 trains and 8.5 billion passengers and 1500 million tonnes freight loading per annum. Every person on earth travels on IR once in a year. Coming to brass tacks, however, there is a singular good news
about the finances of IR that it is not as bad as we think. The bad news is that actually it’s
worse. Its Operating Ratio, that is Gross Working Expenses divided by Gross Earnings nears
100 for many years, leaving no surplus for investment. The Capital Expenditure
on Railways in India tells a diametrically opposite story. It has gone up
multiple times in recent years. So, what are we missing? Are they following my
uncle Ghālib?:
क़र्ज़ की पीते थे मय लेकिन समझते थे कि हाँ,
रंग लावेगी हमारी फ़ाक़ा-मस्ती एक दिन
(I drank with borrowed money with the belief
that my profligacy would bring prosperity.)
No, the government, I think, has a belief that development of
and therefore investment in railways is inseparable from the growth of the
economy as a whole; this investment spins off employment in manufacturing,
construction and services and brings tax revenue to the government so it is
futile to look at IR’s finances in isolation. And so this massive push in
Capex. That settled, we should see how this can be best leveraged to drive and
prepare India towards transitioning into a developed economy.
Let us start with our
passenger trains. The looks, the recall of our trains remained the same for
decades,
reminding me of this sher of Bharat Bhushan Pant:
एक जैसे लग रहे हैं अब सभी चेहरे मुझे
होश की ये इंतिहा है या बहुत नश्शे में हूँ
(All the faces look alike to
me; either a test of my supreme consciousness or I am badly intoxicated.)
A matter of an angst, a dream for a change, shared by a
team of Integral Coach Factory engineers, a team I was fortunate to lead, and
they decided to do something about it to conceive a modern, speedier,
aesthetically-superior trainset. This team had the right capability and the
chutzpah to take up a project of a new train design from concept to delivery.
The support industries in India had also reached near world-standard in certain
key areas and was waiting for a friendly nudge to excel themselves. The project
Train 18, named to remind everyone that the train had to be out on line in
calendar year 2018, was started with great synergy in 2017 and this team made
it into a reality with elan. The train, christened as Vande Bharat Express by
the Prime Minister’s office, was pressed into commercial service in February
2019. There was sheer negativity and gross machinations of
the corrupt for three years, talking about which is a waste of time, but the
project is back on track with 13 such trains in service and what you see here captures
the changing face of IR:
And why and how? Because of this gentleman. The man who
sees this train as our baby, built by Indians for Indians and hopefully for the
world, a symbol of an aspirational and resurgent India. A man who has seen so
much value in this product that he is there to launch each and every new train
himself.
We will have more than 500 such trains in 5 years and
if this is not transformation, what is? This changing face of IR shows how it
is ready to be a country with a developed railway system nearly matching the
best in the world already.
But is that enough? No, we have to act
fast to upgrade the track, equip major sections with Kavach, the fine indigenous development of a
modern signalling system, to fully exploit the potential of the train. Trains
may provide the visibility but the transformation would be more meaningful if
true value in obtained by cutting down of travel time. Also important is to
develop the much-delayed sleeper version of the train so the travel between
metros, say Delhi and Mumbai, can be made truly overnight as also development
of aluminium-bodied more efficient trains. In coming years, Aluminium Vande
Bharat clones fit for 200 kmph should be developed but only after the track
upgrade is commensurate with it. So a wide rail network with trains criss-crossing
the country at 200 kmph has to be realized for a developed India.
What
about High-Speed Rail? After decades of procrastination and endless debate,
this government finally took the first step for Mumbai-Ahmedabad, which after
politically-motivated hiccups in Maharashtra, is well on way to be completed before
the end of this decade. As a quick and clean means of moving inter-city
travellers, HSR on new dedicated tracks must expand in India but I do believe, on
Broad Gauge, to integrate with IR tracks to
reach the heart of the cities, albeit at slower last-mile speed. Covering distances at max speed to 350
kmph and average speed of 200 to 250 kmph, a means to replace air travel to a
large extent, so while the Vande Bharat clones shall compete with air travel,
HSR will practically eliminate it.
In this euphoria of higher-end trains, can we forget
the common man? Can we, in a developed India, say that poor people pay less so let
them travel like cattle? The pictures you see here are all such familiar
sights. India as a developed country cannot have this even in our wildest nightmare so we have to deal with this with empathy.
It is possible to provide all IR with comfortable
travel, mostly air-conditioned except perhaps one or two long-distance train on
every route and work on this must begin now, stop making non-AC coaches, design
and build Garib Rath style Vande Bharats with increased seating
or sleeping, a bit cramped but with no one standing, without much increase in
fare and in any case while the earning from higher-end trains can subsidize it,
we must believe that the day India tops 20 trillion dollar economy, which it
must scale well before the Amrit Kaal ends, even common man should have
enough money in his pocket to afford comfortable travel.
After
all, the common man does travel in all AC trains in Metros, and pays more than
suburban trains. India has more than 50 cities
with a population of more than a million, all will have Metro trains. A caveat:
this fad about building Metros must be matched with development of other city
infra like better roads, E-buses, Traffic management, and so much money should
not be poured in RRTSs, instead the much more economical, Vande Metro concept
should be preferred which is an 8-coach Vande Bharat on existing Broad Gauge network.
...
(to
be continued, about the freight traffic scenario, station redevelopment, oxymoronish ToT and
other issues soon)
The Leaders of ICF team
ReplyDeleteExcellent. I am waiting for subsequent parts.
ReplyDelete👍
DeleteBeautifully articulated, Mr. Mani.
ReplyDeleteElection fever started. So more VB trains to more places, even if it is 8 coach train or bi-weekly. All your points are valid and we hope will be taken up after 2024 general elections, as the flavour of the season is VB and VB only.
ReplyDeleteWell thought out and well articulated. If IR has so many talented people like you, I am sure nothing is impossible, if we do away with the decision paralysis playing at the highest level. They should be given some insurance that their decisions can go wrong or they should have the guts to do the course correction the moment they know that their decision has gone wrong. This in turn calls for a culture of transparency, accountability and governance. Looking forward to the next article.
ReplyDeleteI share in your optimism. I hope it all materialises that way.
ReplyDeleteThus article is very relevant for Railway Engineers and decision makers.
ReplyDeleteNeeds to be given wide publicity.