Aluminium Dream of Indian Railways! Stillborn or Killed?
We have been hearing a lot about Aluminum (Al) trains ever since Integral Coach Factory (ICF) issued a tender for twenty train sets in 2017—aggressively named Train 20 with
a view to turn it out from ICF by end 2020. By the end of 2018, though, the
project was all but shelved. The issue resurfaced when Indian Railways (IR)
issued a tender for 100 Al-bodied, 16-coach train sets capable of operating at
speeds up to 200 km/h. The 200 km/h goal seemed overly ambitious, considering
that India currently lacks the tracks for such speeds and is unlikely to build
them in the foreseeable future but nevertheless, a bold move. There was a buzz
in the global arena that India was finally waking up to its potential for
expansion into modern passenger transportation, leveraging the volume game like
China did two decades ago—a strategy that only large countries can afford.
During my visit to InnoTrans 2022 in Berlin, I observed and wrote:
The gap between where India stood and where the world—particularly
Europe, Japan, and even China—had advanced was like a massive chasm. It was an
eye-opener and a reality check. But while pigs had not exactly started flying,
the Indian bird had indeed begun to flutter. There was a distinct positive
shift in the way European manufacturers responded to interest from Indian
companies and their invitations to collaborate. These changes in attitudes and
perspectives were not incidental. Nearly all the rail component manufacturers I
met had heard of Train 18/Vande Bharat, our indigenous semi-high-speed train,
Kavach, the indigenous signaling system, and the proliferation of Metros,
RRTSs, and so on. They were largely aware of the major push toward acquiring
thousands of high-power locomotives and hundreds of train sets. What had once
been civility masking patronization and condescension had shifted to curiosity,
attentiveness, and respect.
This was good news. It came about due to the government's positive
resolve and action. But this momentum would last only as long as we continued
on this newly discovered path of decisiveness. Should procrastination and
indecision creep in at this crucial stage, we risked returning to square one. I
sincerely hoped that things would continue to progress because that held the
key to a quantum leap in railway technology in India.
Now, a quick recap on Al-bodied trains: The carbody contributes
approximately 28% of the weight of the coach. To reduce the weight of the train
set for higher energy efficiency and even cost savings, it is imperative to
reduce the carbody weight. The existing stainless steel carbodies of LHB or
Vande Bharat trains are already optimized, and significant weight reductions
are only feasible by switching to a lighter material. The current worldwide
choice for carbody material is Aluminum. Coupled with more extensive use of Aluminum
in interiors and other sub-assemblies, Aluminum carbody coaches can be designed
and manufactured to be approximately 10 to 15% lighter. Other advantages of Aluminum
include improved aesthetics (no undulations), superior corrosion resistance,
and reduced maintenance requirements.
A word of caution, a caveat: It is not that Stainless Steel coaches have
become obsolete in the advanced world, a god number is manufactured even today.
However, for a vast railway network like India's, it is crucial to stay sustainable
by making long-term decisions grounded in practical, home-grown
experience—essentially, letting the results speak for themselves—rather than
relying solely on theoretical analyses that are plentiful and to that end, we
must try out Aluminium coaches.
Below, I've reproduced two news items that suggest the Al-bodied train
set tender—and possibly the entire plan—has been scrapped. This development
could significantly influence how IR evolves its passenger segment and equally
important, how it is perceived on the global rolling stock stage.
I assume that both the reports are based on information provided by IR, after all these publications are not particularly averse to publishing verbatim whatever IR hands them, without adding their own commentary. I will highlight the key points of the two in blue followed by my own tuppenny:
Railways may not go for Al-bodied Vande Bharat trains with sleeper facility because of high cost and considering that no Indian company has
the knowhow. It is instead planning to manufacture 24-coach sleeper version of
these modern trains that can travel at higher speeds. Sources
said besides high cost, manufacture of these trains requires import of foreign
technology.
High cost and lack of know-how in India, really? Was this not apparent
when the tender was issued? After facing backlash for pushing the ‘elitist’
Vande Bharat trains while neglecting the needs of ordinary travelers, it seems
the ministry has lost the appetite for pursuing meaningful projects. Now, they
are trying to mask their lack of decisiveness with the convenient smokescreen
of cost-consciousness and Atmanirbhar.
As for the coaches for everyday passengers, we've already witnessed the
ministry’s fickle approach—first, a full-throttle push for AC coaches, only to
reverse course and focus on non-AC coaches, leaving RMPU manufacturers high and
dry. It is never an either-or scenario; the ministry could achieve both goals
if they had a clear roadmap, not one swayed by fleeting trends.
High cost is a matter of perspective (more about it later), and bold
decisions in finalizing such contracts come from inner conviction, not from the
polished rhetoric in which the ministry has, unfortunately, become well-versed
to its own detriment.
Yes, it is true that Indian companies, and IR (read ICF, the vanguard of
coach design), currently lack the full expertise to design Al-bodied trains.
Indian manufacturers would need to navigate a steep learning curve to master
the intricate welding techniques required for these shells. Furthermore, India
lacks the necessary infrastructure—plants and machinery—to produce the
extrusions essential for aluminum carbodies. These challenges are no secret,
and one would expect that such a significant tender would have taken them into
account. When we undertook the ambitious Train 20 project, we were fully aware
of these limitations and crafted the tender accordingly, even though it was
limited to just 20 trains. The current environment, with its unprecedented
railway investments, is far more conducive to large-scale technology
acquisition, assimilation and investments in facilities by private sector—a
trend that is likely to stabilize or even grow. If they have decided to scrap
the Al-bodied train project altogether, it would be nothing short of a colossal
step backward.
This flimsy attempt to justify a 24-coach, higher-speed Vande Bharat is
just another desperate effort to find virtue in a lost cause. The 24-coach
configuration is something IR has been pushing for, even in the existing
contract for 16-coach stainless steel Vande Bharats, so it could just as easily
be applied to this tender. And as for the so-called "higher speed", it is bunged around casually, much like the absurd directive from the ministry for
ICF to produce 240 kmph train sets in 2024-25. ICF could indeed be tasked with
designing and developing train sets in the 200-240 kmph range, but that will happen only with strong leadership, unwavering commitment, and the freedom to
act—not through bureaucrats issuing decrees from their desks in Delhi, and in a tight but doable time frame of 3 to 4 years.
Sources
said the Alstom had quoted Rs 150.9 cr. per trainset, but railways'
tender panel had recommended that the price not be more than 140 cr. Alstom had
intended to close the deal for approximately 145 cr but no agreement could be
reached. Earlier, IR had bid out a contract to manufacture 200 Vande Bharat Sleeper
trainsets at Rs 120 cr. per rake.
IR managed to secure an attractive price of ₹120 cr. for the SS Vande
Bharat trains, but will it be correct to count our chickens before they hatch—the
project is a work in progress and in any case, the price is now 2 year old? To
compare that price point with the current contract is to indulge in a
half-baked assessment. It would be intriguing, to say the least, to examine the
so-called ₹140 cr. costing done by ICF or IR, which lack anything resembling
a competent costing department. Did they resort to some ridiculous unitary
method calculation, comparing SS and Al raw material prices? How exactly did they
factor in the cost of design, technology, infrastructure, tooling, training etc. or did they do it at all?
I have no interest in playing advocate for Alstom, nor am I here to justify the ₹145 cr. price tag. What is important is that the difference between the cap and the negotiated price was merely 3% odd. Could IR not have pressed harder in negotiations, because getting a lower quote in the future will not be a walk in the park. And if it turns out that way, will IR not end up with egg on its face? Even Titagarh Firema, the Indian multinational responsible for India’s first major Al-bodied train order for Pune Metro, might struggle to operate under a ₹140 cr. cap. After all, they themselves submitted a similar offer for the SS Vande Bharat, and only agreed to the ₹120 cr. price because they were obliged to match the lowest bid from the Russian consortium and no Indian company could let such an opportunity pass by.
Or is this fiasco something to do with the necessity to change the manufacturing site from ICF to somewhere else under the pressure of the unions? Even if so, this was not something unsurmountable!
An Alstom spokesperson said the company's offer for 100 Al-bodied trains was a very competitive offer, and the lowest when benchmarked against similar trains produced globally. According to a report in Moneycontrol, Alstom India MD Olivier Loison said that while IR has cancelled the order, the company is well-positioned to support the realisation of the vision in the future, if the need arises.
True and fair enough,
reflecting their unstated disappointment. But really, what else could we expect from a company deeply invested in
India and angling for more opportunities?
Another official, highlighting the importance of competition to
get the best price, said that the next round of tender would invite multiple
players, unlike the latest one that involved only two players. The eligibility
norms to qualify for the tender includes a research and development (R&D)
facility to ensure they can manufacture a prototype and also have the capacity
to assemble at least five train sets a year.
Ah, the irony! It was not that only two companies were invited—it is
that only that only two bothered to participate. What magic wand does IR plan
to wave to tweak eligibility criteria and attract more players? The only thing
that comes to mind is elimination of the hollow ambition of 200 kmph capability—a mere
ornament in the absence of tracks that can support such speeds. It might offer
a slight advantage, but it is hardly going to move the needle on price.
The cancellation of this tender is no small matter, and let’s be
clear—hiding behind the tired excuses of a mere 3% higher price, gaps in local
expertise, and lack of competition simply does not cut it.
The strange dodder of Indian Railways could make one exclaim, like Lear
in the bard’s King Lear, “...O, that way madness lies; let me shun that...”,
but I am a railway man for life, albeit powerless, for whom, the poet Zauq has
already written:
Behtar to hai yahī ki na duniyā se dil lage
par kyā kareñ jo kaam na be-dil-lagī chale
(It is certainly better to not involve one’s heart in this world but what can one do as things do not work without attaching one’s heart to it.)
…
Well, it is the same story that repeats again and again. IR takes one step forwards followed by one and half steps backward after in depth study.
ReplyDeleteLook at Delner couplers. After several studies and negotiations, IR frustrated Delner to such an extent that they refused to deal with IR's Production Units. LHB coaches, even after two decades are still prone to jerks.
I do not want to promote Delner but this company is reputed for making high quality couplers and vestibules. Similarly, Stadler is reputed for making EMUs and trainsets. These companies did not earn their reputations easily and may not meet the lowest price while sacrificing the quality of their products.
May be IR should learn on negotiating terms and partnerships from Chinese Railway.
😀
DeleteWhy not double decker train with 20 coach which will reduce congestion on existing trains and also reduce the cost of tickets by increasing productivity
ReplyDeleteOur SOD is not very amenable for double deck coaches
DeleteSudhanshu ji why HOG is not seen widely as it can replace EOG coaches with passenger coaches
ReplyDeleteI don't think balance of goods will increase without private partnership
ReplyDeleteThat is true
DeleteHOG is now much wider in use.
ReplyDeleteExcellent article sir
ReplyDeleteIt is sad that IR has retracted on its plan to introduce Al coaches. I wonder whether any meaningful cost benefit analysis was done, taking all the benefits into account. If IR does not have the needed capability to do such an analysis, it can surely hire a consultant to do so; after nowadays consultants are hired for producing PPTs. Of course, i agree with mani that such analysis should have been done before the tender was floated, not now. It is strange that at 140 crores, the project will be justified but not at 150 or 145 crores.
ReplyDeleteThanks sir for your comments
DeleteThank you Sudhanshu.You should have called this article "By the Incisive Indian"
ReplyDelete